Arizona House / Arizona Senate
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Christine Marsh, Arizona State Senate District 28
2018 Race Update: Christine lost 49.90% to 50.10%
The most important thing Christine Marsh has done in her life is raise socially-responsible, noble, and honest sons. Her goal as a mother was to raise kids who could make the world a better place. Some might call this idealistic, but it is what she expects, and sees, of them everyday.
Beyond being a mother, Christine is proud to say that she has dedicated her career to being a high school English teacher. There, she viewed her classroom as a place to provide skills and knowledge in her students that will equip them to make the world a better place by being contributing, powerful members of the workforce and their communities. She has tried to challenge them to reach beyond their own comfort zones as they strive to improve their skills in reading, writing, and critical thinking.
After 25 years of being in the classroom every day, she was honored to be named Arizona’s 2016 Teacher of the year. Through that experience, she had the opportunity to travel across the state to see first-hand the issues that public schools are facing on a daily basis.
Christine is also a writer, runner, active member of her church family, education activist, friend, and daughter. Even though those roles are listed in one sentence, she takes each role very seriously and tries to contribute as much as she is blessed to gain.
Wade Carlisle, Arizona State Senate District 6
2018 Race Update: Wade lost 49.10% to 50.90%
Wade Carlisle is a fourth generation Arizonan and a product of Arizona’s public education system. He is the father of two daughters and the proud husband of a great school teacher. He is a hard-working, middle-class American. He supports his family by working on the railroad, working cattle, as a substitute teacher, and running Holbrook’s hardware store for the past 10 years.
These experiences have taught him family values, the importance of hard work, and the devastating impact the underfunding of public schools has had on Arizona’s communities. That’s why he’s running for office.
He is currently the Vice Mayor of Holbrook and has been on Holbrook city council for 13 years. In his time as city councilor, he has seen what bad legislation can do to a city, and how to mend that legislation. He has continued to watch the Legislature let Arizona’s education and transportation go to the wayside.
Wade promises to look out for rural Arizona in the legislature.
2018 Election Update
After the 2016 election, Republicans controlled the Arizona State Senate 17-13. After the 2018 election, there was no change to the partisan composition of the chamber. EveryDistrict endorsed Wade Carlisle (SD 6, LDI: -9) and Christine Marsh (SD 28, LDI: 1). Carlisle lost by 1712 votes (1.80%) and Marsh lost by 267 votes (0.20%).
EveryDistrict identified two other districts as competitive: SD 8 (LDI: -6) and SD 20 (LDI: -8). The Democratic candidates in those districts lost by 6821 votes (12.20%) and 2818 votes (3.80%) respectively. The Democratic candidate in SD 17 (LDI: -11) lost by 1744 votes (1.80%).
Understanding the Map
EveryDistrict’s Legislative District Index (LDI) ranks state legislative districts on a scale from 100 to -100, using statewide elections data. Districts with a score of 100 would vote for statewide Democratic candidates by an average of 100 points (with the Democratic candidate receiving 100% of the vote); districts with a score of -100 would vote for statewide Republican candidates by an average of 100 points (with the Republican candidate receiving 100% of the vote). For a more realistic example, a district with a score of 10 would vote for statewide Democratic candidates by an average of 10 points (meaning we would expect the Democratic state legislative candidate to win with 55% of the vote compared to the Republican winning 45% of the vote).
EveryDistrict divides winnable districts into five categories. Dark blue districts lean Democratic and are held by a Democratic legislator. Light blue districts lean Republican and are held by a Democratic legislator. Yellow districts lean Democratic but are held by a Republican legislator; these districts represent the best pick up opportunities for Democrats. Pink districts lean slightly Republican, with a range of 0 up to -5; in the current political climate we’ve identified these districts as pick up opportunities for Democrats. Dark red districts are held by a Republican and have an LDI score of less than -5.
For more information about EveryDistrict’s LDI, please click here.
Updated LDI scores incorporating the 2018 election results will be released in spring 2019.