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Florida Senate / Florida House

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2018 Election Update

After the 2016 election, Republicans controlled the Florida State House 79-41. Democrats gained one seat after winning a special election in February 2018.

Heading into the 2018 election, Republicans controlled the chamber 75-41 with four vacancies (one in a Democratic-held seat and three in Republican-held seats). Democrats flipped seven Republican-held seats and lost two Democratic-held seats for a five-seat gain. Republicans now control the chamber 73-47.

EveryDistrict endorsed successful Democratic challengers Joy Goff-Marcil (HD 30, LDI: -3), Anna Eskamani (HD 47, LDI: -2), and Jennifer Webb (HD 69, LDI: -2). Democrats also won HD 44 (LDI: -12), HD 59 (LDI: -8), HD 63 (LDI: -1), and HD 103 (LDI: -3). Democrats lost HD 26 (LDI: 6) and HD 118 (LDI: -3).

EveryDistrict identified 14 other competitive districts and endorsed Democratic challengers in five of those districts: Jason Haeseler (HD 21),  Linda Jack (HD 36), Barbara Cady (HD 42), Javier Estevez (HD 105), and Jeffrey Solomon (HD 115).

Click here for a spreadsheet of LDI scores and 2018 Florida election results; click here for all 2018 election results.

Understanding the Map

EveryDistrict’s Legislative District Index (LDI) ranks state legislative districts on a scale from 100 to -100, using statewide elections data. Districts with a score of 100 would vote for statewide Democratic candidates by an average of 100 points (with the Democratic candidate receiving 100% of the vote); districts with a score of -100 would vote for statewide Republican candidates by an average of 100 points (with the Republican candidate receiving 100% of the vote). For a more realistic example, a district with a score of 10 would vote for statewide Democratic candidates by an average of 10 points (meaning we would expect the Democratic state legislative candidate to win with 55% of the vote compared to the Republican winning 45% of the vote).

EveryDistrict divides winnable districts into five categories. Dark blue districts lean Democratic and are held by a Democratic legislator. Light blue districts lean Republican and are held by a Democratic legislator. Yellow districts lean Democratic but are held by a Republican legislator; these districts represent the best pick up opportunities for Democrats. Pink districts lean slightly Republican, with a range of 0 up to -5; in the current political climate we’ve identified these districts as pick up opportunities for Democrats. Dark red districts are held by a Republican and have an LDI score of less than -5.

For more information about EveryDistrict’s LDI, please click here.

Updated LDI scores incorporating the 2018 election results will be released in spring 2019.