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2017 Election Update
In 2017, Republicans controlled the Virginia House of Delegates 66-34. In the 2017 election, Democrats flipped 15 seats to cut the Republican majority to 51-49.
EveryDistrict endorsed ten of the successful Democratic challengers: Wendy Gooditis (HD 10, LDI: -2), Kelly Fowler (HD 21, LDI: 4), Elizabeth Guzman (HD 31, LDI: 3), David Reid (HD 32, LDI: 10), Lee Carter (HD 50, LDI: 3), Hala Ayala (HD 51, LDI: 0), Dawn Adams (HD 68, LDI: 2), Schuyler VanValkenburg (HD 72, LDI: -2), Debra Rodman (HD 73, LDI: 2), and Cheryl Turpin (HD 85, LDI: -2).
Click here for a spreadsheet with LDI scores and previous election results.
In 2019, all 100 House of Delegate districts and 40 State Senate districts will be on the ballot. EveryDistrict will be back in Virginia working to flip the legislature blue. You can support our efforts by donating to EveryDistrict’s Virginia Fund.
Understanding the Map
EveryDistrict’s Legislative District Index (LDI) ranks state legislative districts on a scale from 100 to -100, using statewide elections data. Districts with a score of 100 would vote for statewide Democratic candidates by an average of 100 points (with the Democratic candidate receiving 100% of the vote); districts with a score of -100 would vote for statewide Republican candidates by an average of 100 points (with the Republican candidate receiving 100% of the vote). For a more realistic example, a district with a score of 10 would vote for statewide Democratic candidates by an average of 10 points (meaning we would expect the Democratic state legislative candidate to win with 55% of the vote compared to the Republican winning 45% of the vote).
EveryDistrict divides winnable districts into five categories. Dark blue districts lean Democratic and are held by a Democratic legislator. Light blue districts lean Republican and are held by a Democratic legislator. Yellow districts lean Democratic but are held by a Republican legislator; these districts represent the best pick up opportunities for Democrats. Pink districts lean slightly Republican, with a range of 0 up to -5; in the current political climate we’ve identified these districts as pick up opportunities for Democrats. Dark red districts are held by a Republican and have an LDI score of less than -5.
For more information about EveryDistrict’s LDI, please click here.
Updated LDI scores incorporating the 2018 election results will be released in spring 2019.